Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.129211 0.152103 0.177700 0.208419 0.244266 0.284757 0.333949
2025-11-02 0.091825 0.120288 0.155487 0.202129 0.262232 0.336996 0.436996
2025-11-09 0.069239 0.098296 0.137047 0.192337 0.269027 0.371463 0.518509
2025-11-16 0.057061 0.086545 0.128380 0.191788 0.285168 0.417304 0.618129
2025-11-23 0.046935 0.075446 0.118156 0.186402 0.292288 0.449810 0.701341
2025-11-30 0.041246 0.069818 0.114731 0.189931 0.312101 0.502027 0.818736
2025-12-07 0.035970 0.063866 0.109706 0.189833 0.325618 0.545382 0.926639
2025-12-14 0.030879 0.057347 0.102693 0.185216 0.330695 0.575154 1.015163
2025-12-21 0.027304 0.052881 0.098438 0.184512 0.341907 0.615742 1.125682
2025-12-28 0.025323 0.050991 0.098387 0.191097 0.366452 0.681451 1.286679
2026-01-04 0.023806 0.049737 0.099275 0.199396 0.394884 0.756759 1.472743
2026-01-11 0.022030 0.047695 0.098364 0.204052 0.416818 0.822202 1.647142
2026-01-18 0.019781 0.044529 0.095169 0.204488 0.432008 0.879284 1.817624
2026-01-25 0.017173 0.040219 0.089124 0.198433 0.433702 0.911035 1.943608
2026-02-01 0.014651 0.035674 0.081907 0.188827 0.426640 0.924218 2.033223
2026-02-08 0.013192 0.033313 0.079065 0.188289 0.438771 0.978063 2.213815
2026-02-15 0.011591 0.030346 0.074421 0.182999 0.439614 1.007875 2.345935
2026-02-22 0.010753 0.029115 0.073611 0.186465 0.460738 1.084106 2.589288
2026-03-01 0.009796 0.027422 0.071447 0.186368 0.473455 1.142863 2.799633
2026-03-08 0.008713 0.025216 0.067702 0.181834 0.474858 1.175698 2.953280
2026-03-15 0.007946 0.023739 0.065593 0.181142 0.485639 1.231734 3.168641
2026-03-22 0.007579 0.023325 0.066196 0.187611 0.515415 1.336849 3.515861
2026-03-29 0.007303 0.023133 0.067368 0.195762 0.550593 1.459139 3.919686